3 Team College Basketball Parlay for Wednesday Night
Here is our play for a three-team parlay for Wednesday evening. All odds are provided by the FanDuel sportsbook.
In this parlay, we are backing two home teams and a road team, with all selections coming against the spread. This parlay also involves all power six teams, as volatility rises exponentially when you start to include games that are taking place in conference tournament-type settings.
Here is a parlay for Wednesday that pays out (+579).
Maryland Terrapins (-3) at Northwestern Wildcats
This game feels like a fairly easy leg of the parlay. Maryland just completely dismantled Michigan State over the weekend and boasts a 10-1 record straight-up when favored on the season. The Terrapins have now strung together five consecutive wins and have a 4-1 record against the spread in those contests. They have also won three of their last four true road games in conference play.
Northwestern is just 4-5-1 against the spread at home this season and 4-13 straight-up on the season when it is getting points. After Northwestern's win against Ohio State on Dec. 26, it lost 13 consecutive games until its Feb. 25 victory against the Minnesota Golden Gophers. Astonishingly, that game took place in Minnesota. The Wildcats are just 7-14 overall on the season with a 4-13 mark in league play.
This will be the first and only meeting between the two teams on the season unless they somehow rendezvous in the Big Ten tournament. Maryland isn't exactly a juggernaut on the road, but it is 5-4 against the spread. The Terps should certainly be able to "out-athlete" the Wildcats with wings Darryl Morsell and Aaron Wiggins along with Donta Scott.
Look for the Terrapins to continue their hot streak and run away from a Northwestern team that simply just doesn't have the horses to keep up with a Maryland team that currently plays more like a hare.
Minnesota Golden Gophers at Penn State Nittany Lions (-4.5)
Death, taxes and Minnesota being horrible on the road. In the world of college basketball wagering, there is no other certainty than the Golden Gophers losing on the road. Richard Pitino's team is an egregious 2-19 straight-up on the road over the last two seasons, and that trend is still going in the wrong direction as both wins took place last season.
The Golden Gophers are 0-9 straight-up on the road in 2020-21.
Against the spread, they are better but not by much. Since the start of the 2019-20 season, the Gophers are 6-15 against the number, covering just 28.6% of their games, which is dead last in the Big Ten. Minnesota is underperforming the spread by 3.0 points per game and losing by an average of 8.7 points per game. Lately, it hasn't even mattered where the Gophers have played, as they have just been bad. Minnesota has lost five consecutive games and failed to cover in any of the five games. Two of those games were played at home.
To make matters even worse, the Gophers will be without sharpshooter (not so much this season but historically) Gabe Kalscheur, who is currently out with a broken finger on his shooting hand.
Now, while Minnesota's trends certainly paint a grim picture, Penn State is not exactly unbeatable at home. The Nittany Lions are just 6-5 straight-up at home on the season but are 5-3 straight-up this season when they are laying points.
Against the spread, they are 10-11 on the season, which is respectable; however, the Lions are just 1-4 ATS in their last five games. Clearly, this is a "battle for the bottom" type matchup, but bettors are making a ton of money this season simply fading the Minnesota Golden Gophers on the road regardless of who they are playing. Play the rule until the rule is broken.
Missouri Tigers at Florida Gators (-4.5)
This is obviously the most difficult leg of the parlay, though recent play suggests that these two teams are heading in dramatically different directions.
The Missouri Tigers once looked like a lock for the NCAA Tournament but are now, at the very best, limping into the field. The Tigers have lost four of their last five games, with their lone victory coming against lowly South Carolina. It should be noted that Jeremiah Tilmon did not play in two of those games.
Meanwhile, the Florida Gators have won three consecutive games, including a tough game in Lexington against the Kentucky Wildcats. Sophomore point guard Tre Mann has played just as his surname suggests lately. Over Florida's last eight games, Mann has averaged 16 points, 6.6 rebounds, 2.5 assists, and 1.5 steals. He has also been incredibly efficient over that stretch, shooting 39% from beyond the arc and 87% from the free-throw line. While his per-game averages may be better on the road for the season, Mann is actually more efficient at home, which has led to the Gators' 6-2 record in Gainesville.
Florida is 10-2 straight-up at home, while Missouri is 5-4 straight-up on the road. Florida has been simply mediocre against the spread at just 4-4 at The Swamp. Florida is currently on a hot streak, winning seven of its last nine games straight-up.
Missouri simply isn't a team worth backing at this point, especially on the road as Florida might be playing its best basketball of the season behind Mann and fellow sophomore Scottie Lewis. Colin Castleton could also prove to be a tough matchup for Tilmon as he continues to get back into the flow following a death in his family.
Quick Links
Derek Hudson
Derek is a long time sports bettor who grew up in Providence, RI. Derek is data driven and believes the key to betting the sportsbooks is finding an edge in analytics. Derek is happily married and has two young boys. Derek will bet on anything if you let him.
